Solana & Alts

Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?

3% say yes

Up 1 point today.

Decided by Binance HYPE/USDT 1-minute candles, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 3¢ means about a 3% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.3%
What has to happen
Any Binance 1 minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPE/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.97%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 3%No 97%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Low (25/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Binance HYPE/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles Yes as soon as any 1-minute candle’s low reaches the strike, even if the price moves back right away. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPE/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET…”
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.