Other

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

<1% say yes

About the same as yesterday.

Decided by major news reports, by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.<1%
What has to happen
The standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.>99%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, the market settles as "No".

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more.”
“If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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