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Geopolitics

Will Greens win the most in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Settled: Conservative

Decided by consensus of credible reporting

Result posted: Sun Oct 25, 3:52 AM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Sun Oct 25, 3:20 AM ET

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (32 in all).

Possible results

  • ConservativeConservative wins the election.Yes

    What has to happen

    Conservative wins, under the rules.

  • NDPNDP wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    NDP wins, under the rules.

  • GreensGreens win the election.No

    What has to happen

    Greens win, under the rules.

  • CentreBCCentreBC wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    CentreBC wins, under the rules.

Show 28 more results
  • OneBCOneBC wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    OneBC wins, under the rules.

  • Party AParty A wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party A wins, under the rules.

  • Party BParty B wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party B wins, under the rules.

  • Party CParty C wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party C wins, under the rules.

  • Party DParty D wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party D wins, under the rules.

  • Party EParty E wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party E wins, under the rules.

  • Party FParty F wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party F wins, under the rules.

  • Party GParty G wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party G wins, under the rules.

  • Party HParty H wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party H wins, under the rules.

  • Party IParty I wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party I wins, under the rules.

  • Party JParty J wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party J wins, under the rules.

  • Party KParty K wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party K wins, under the rules.

  • Party LParty L wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party L wins, under the rules.

  • Party MParty M wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party M wins, under the rules.

  • Party NParty N wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party N wins, under the rules.

  • Party OParty O wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party O wins, under the rules.

  • Party PParty P wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party P wins, under the rules.

  • Party QParty Q wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party Q wins, under the rules.

  • Party RParty R wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party R wins, under the rules.

  • Party SParty S wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party S wins, under the rules.

  • Party TParty T wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party T wins, under the rules.

  • Party UParty U wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party U wins, under the rules.

  • Party VParty V wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party V wins, under the rules.

  • Party WParty W wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party W wins, under the rules.

  • Party XParty X wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party X wins, under the rules.

  • Party YParty Y wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party Y wins, under the rules.

  • Party ZParty Z wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Party Z wins, under the rules.

  • another partyanother party wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    another party wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results.

See all fine print
  • Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by elections.bc.ca (tiebreak)
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (elections.bc.ca) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: elections.bc.ca (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

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Will Greens win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver