Geopolitics
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
<1% say Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel will be head of state in Iran end of 2026
No price change recorded today yet.
Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting, by December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM .
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
Mojtaba KhameneiMojtaba Khamenei wins.92%
What has to happen
Mojtaba Khamenei wins, under the rules.
Alireza ArafiAlireza Arafi wins.3%
What has to happen
Alireza Arafi wins, under the rules.
Reza PahlaviReza Pahlavi wins.1%
What has to happen
Reza Pahlavi wins, under the rules.
Masoud PezeshkianMasoud Pezeshkian wins.<1%
What has to happen
Masoud Pezeshkian wins, under the rules.
Show 25 more results
Hassan RouhaniHassan Rouhani wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hassan Rouhani wins, under the rules.
Muhammad MirbaqiriMuhammad Mirbaqiri wins.<1%
What has to happen
Muhammad Mirbaqiri wins, under the rules.
Sadegh LarijaniSadegh Larijani wins.<1%
What has to happen
Sadegh Larijani wins, under the rules.
Hassan KhomeiniHassan Khomeini wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hassan Khomeini wins, under the rules.
Maryam RajaviMaryam Rajavi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Maryam Rajavi wins, under the rules.
Abbas AraghchiAbbas Araghchi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Abbas Araghchi wins, under the rules.
Ahmad VahidiAhmad Vahidi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ahmad Vahidi wins, under the rules.
Mohammad-Bagher GhalibafMohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf wins, under the rules.
Hassan ShariatmadariHassan Shariatmadari wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hassan Shariatmadari wins, under the rules.
Navid ShomaliNavid Shomali wins.<1%
What has to happen
Navid Shomali wins, under the rules.
Mustafa HijriMustafa Hijri wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mustafa Hijri wins, under the rules.
Sadegh MahsouliSadegh Mahsouli wins.<1%
What has to happen
Sadegh Mahsouli wins, under the rules.
Nasir HosseiniNasir Hosseini wins.<1%
What has to happen
Nasir Hosseini wins, under the rules.
Massoud RajaviMassoud Rajavi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Massoud Rajavi wins, under the rules.
Seyed Hossein MousavianSeyed Hossein Mousavian wins.<1%
What has to happen
Seyed Hossein Mousavian wins, under the rules.
Reza PirzadehReza Pirzadeh wins.<1%
What has to happen
Reza Pirzadeh wins, under the rules.
Ali MotahariAli Motahari wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ali Motahari wins, under the rules.
Gholam-Ali Haddad-AdelGholam-Ali Haddad-Adel wins.<1%
What has to happen
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel wins, under the rules.
Mostafa PourmohammadiMostafa Pourmohammadi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mostafa Pourmohammadi wins, under the rules.
Saeed JaliliSaeed Jalili wins.<1%
What has to happen
Saeed Jalili wins, under the rules.
Mahmoud AhmadinejadMahmoud Ahmadinejad wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wins, under the rules.
Mohammad KhatamiMohammad Khatami wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mohammad Khatami wins, under the rules.
Mohsen ArakiMohsen Araki wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mohsen Araki wins, under the rules.
Ahmad Hosseini KhorasaniAhmad Hosseini Khorasani wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani wins, under the rules.
Ali Asghar HejaziAli Asghar Hejazi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ali Asghar Hejazi wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, the market settles as “No Head of State”.
Price chart
Loading...
View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)