MarketWeaver

Other

Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?

<1% say yes

Down 98 points today.

Decided by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM , under the rules.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • YesWhat the question describes actually happens.<1%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.>99%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If Fred VanVleet does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "Other".

See all fine print
  • If Fred VanVleet joins a team that is not listed, the market settles as "Other".
Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 9.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 0.1¢ to 9.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed1h ago

  • The price rose 9.8 points in about 15 minutes, from 0.1¢ to 9.9¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders
Yes price
0.1¢
15 min change (points)
+0.0
Today (points)
-98.0
Traded, 24h
$1.14M
Gap between best prices
0.1¢

The details

Yes orders vs No orders: too little tradingRule note: the announcement countsNo source named
Chance the crowd gives Yes
<1% Yes
-98.0 points today · $1.14M traded
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
Too little trading to read
$0 on the Yes side / $443 on the No side · bid and ask 0.1¢ apart
Fine-print risk
Low (25/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Price and trading: the crowd gives Yes <1% (-98.0 points today, +0.0 points in the last 15 minutes) on $1.14M traded in 24 hours. Less than $500 is waiting within 5¢ of the price, so the order balance says little.
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Yes side $0bid and ask 0.1¢ apartToo little trading to readNo side $443
Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading rose to about 24 times the usual hourly amount.

    15m ago

  • Trading rose to about 24 times the usual hourly amount.

    45m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to the next team Fred VanVleet officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.