Geopolitics
Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2% say Eli Cohen wins
No price change recorded today yet.
Decided by the election on October 27, 2026, using official government/military statements plus a credible reporting.
Results can take until December 31, 2027.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 2¢ means about a 2% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (9 in all).
Possible results
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot wins the election.63%
What has to happen
Gadi Eizenkot wins, under the rules.
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu wins the election.21%
What has to happen
Benjamin Netanyahu wins, under the rules.
Avigdor LiebermanAvigdor Lieberman wins the election.8%
What has to happen
Avigdor Lieberman wins, under the rules.
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett wins the election.2%
What has to happen
Naftali Bennett wins, under the rules.
Show 5 more results
Eli CohenEli Cohen wins the election.2%
What has to happen
Eli Cohen wins, under the rules.
Yossi CohenYossi Cohen wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Yossi Cohen wins, under the rules.
Israel KatzIsrael Katz wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Israel Katz wins, under the rules.
Amir OhanaAmir Ohana wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Amir Ohana wins, under the rules.
Aviv KohaviAviv Kohavi wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Aviv Kohavi wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
See all fine print
- If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Other”.
Price chart
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