US Elections
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
<1% say Destry J. Payne Sr. wins
No price change recorded today yet.
Polymarket lists November 3, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until July 31, 2027.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (22 in all).
Possible results
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins wins the election.88%
What has to happen
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins wins, under the rules.
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson wins the election.12%
What has to happen
Bernadette Wilson wins, under the rules.
Click BishopClick Bishop wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Click Bishop wins, under the rules.
David BronsonDavid Bronson wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
David Bronson wins, under the rules.
Show 18 more results
Adam CrumAdam Crum wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Adam Crum wins, under the rules.
Nancy DahlstromNancy Dahlstrom wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Nancy Dahlstrom wins, under the rules.
Edna DeVriesEdna DeVries wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Edna DeVries wins, under the rules.
Matt HeilalaMatt Heilala wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Matt Heilala wins, under the rules.
Shelley HughesShelley Hughes wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Shelley Hughes wins, under the rules.
James ParkinJames Parkin wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
James Parkin wins, under the rules.
Treg TaylorTreg Taylor wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Treg Taylor wins, under the rules.
Lisa MurkowskiLisa Murkowski wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Lisa Murkowski wins, under the rules.
Tom BegichTom Begich wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Tom Begich wins, under the rules.
Mary PeltolaMary Peltola wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Mary Peltola wins, under the rules.
Hank KrollHank Kroll wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Hank Kroll wins, under the rules.
Bruce WaldenBruce Walden wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Bruce Walden wins, under the rules.
Matt ClamanMatt Claman wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Matt Claman wins, under the rules.
Lesil McGuireLesil McGuire wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Lesil McGuire wins, under the rules.
Gregg BrelsfordGregg Brelsford wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Gregg Brelsford wins, under the rules.
Jessica FairclothJessica Faircloth wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Jessica Faircloth wins, under the rules.
Destry J. Payne Sr.Destry J. Payne Sr. wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Destry J. Payne Sr. wins, under the rules.
Bill WalkerBill Walker wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Bill Walker wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
See all fine print
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market settles as "Other".