Fed & Rates

Will Databricks have the highest 2026?

<1% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by Board / , by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesWhat the question describes actually happens.<1%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoIt doesn’t happen.>99%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used.

See all fine print

If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by .gov source: federalreserve.gov

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Federal Reserve Board / FOMC. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Wed, Dec 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Next official event: FOMC statement, see the official schedule

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit…”
“If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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