Geopolitics

Will Candidate L be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No live price for this market yet.

About the same as yesterday.

Decided by the election on September 13, 2026, using official government/military statements plus a credible reporting.

Polymarket lists September 12, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until June 30, 2027.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

Possible results

YesThe person named in the question wins the election.No price
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by June 30, 2027.
NoIt doesn’t happen.No price
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Other”.

Price chart

-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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