Geopolitics

Will Candidate J win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Settlement under review

To be decided by consensus of credible reporting

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Wed Jul 1, 8:24 AM ET

The result posted on Polymarket is being disputed, so no result is shown here until it is final.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesThe person named in the question wins the election.No result yet
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by June 2, 2026.
NoIt doesn’t happen.No result yet
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print

If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of trusted news reports; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the event happening and being officially reported, time zone not statedNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the event happening and being officially reported

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the event happening and being officially reported, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Tue, Jun 2, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Big trades across all markets