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US Elections

Will Candidate D win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Settled: Lula

Decided by the official result, under the rules

Result posted: Mon Oct 26, 1:03 AM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Mon Oct 26, 1:03 AM ET

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 25, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (8 in all).

Possible results

  • LulaLula wins the election.Yes

    What has to happen

    Lula wins, under the rules.

  • Flavio BolsonaroFlavio Bolsonaro wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Flavio Bolsonaro wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate ACandidate A wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate A wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate BCandidate B wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate B wins, under the rules.

Show 4 more results
  • Candidate CCandidate C wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate C wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate DCandidate D wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate D wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate ECandidate E wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate E wins, under the rules.

  • someone elsesomeone else wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    someone else wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results from the Superior Electoral Court.

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: no rules on fileSettled by dadosabertos.tse.jus.br (tiebreak)
Fine-print risk
-
no rules on file

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (dadosabertos.tse.jus.br) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: No contract text is on file, so the settlement trigger cannot be checked.

Source named: dadosabertos.tse.jus.br (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

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Will Candidate D win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?: explained simply · MarketWeaver