Geopolitics
Will Branko Milutinović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
10% say Branko Milutinović wins
No price change recorded today yet.
Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 10¢ means about a 10% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (16 in all).
Possible results
Dejan ŠoškićDejan Šoškić wins the election.45%
What has to happen
Dejan Šoškić wins, under the rules.
Ivanka PopovićIvanka Popović wins the election.21%
What has to happen
Ivanka Popović wins, under the rules.
Radomir SaičićRadomir Saičić wins the election.12%
What has to happen
Radomir Saičić wins, under the rules.
Branko MilutinovićBranko Milutinović wins the election.10%
What has to happen
Branko Milutinović wins, under the rules.
Show 12 more results
Ilija SrdanovićIlija Srdanović wins the election.6%
What has to happen
Ilija Srdanović wins, under the rules.
Aleksandar VučićAleksandar Vučić wins the election.2%
What has to happen
Aleksandar Vučić wins, under the rules.
Vladan ĐokićVladan Đokić wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Vladan Đokić wins, under the rules.
Zoran StojiljkovićZoran Stojiljković wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Zoran Stojiljković wins, under the rules.
Dejan BodirogaDejan Bodiroga wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Dejan Bodiroga wins, under the rules.
Ana BrnabićAna Brnabić wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Ana Brnabić wins, under the rules.
Dragan ĐilasDragan Đilas wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Dragan Đilas wins, under the rules.
Ivica DačićIvica Dačić wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Ivica Dačić wins, under the rules.
Miloš VučevićMiloš Vučević wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Miloš Vučević wins, under the rules.
Đuro MacutĐuro Macut wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Đuro Macut wins, under the rules.
Stefan KrkobabićStefan Krkobabić wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Stefan Krkobabić wins, under the rules.
Branimir JovanovićBranimir Jovanović wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Branimir Jovanović wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Other”.
See all fine print
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Price chart
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Recorded moves
The price fell 5.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 16¢ to 10.8¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensus4h ago
The price rose 12.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 5.6¢ to 17.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensus6h ago
The price fell 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 18.6¢ to 14.2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensus12h ago
The price fell 15.7 points in about 15 minutes, from 34.9¢ to 19.2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensus13h ago
The price fell 17.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 54¢ to 36.7¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensus13h ago
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