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Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Closed, awaiting result

To be decided by consensus of credible reporting

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Wed Oct 28, 10:39 AM ET

Trading has stopped. No result has been posted yet.

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The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2027), the answer is No.

Possible results

RZP-ZehutRZP-Zehut wins.No result yet
What has to happen
The listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
Ra'amRa'am wins.No result yet
What has to happen
The listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
Reservists and New Economic PartyReservists and New Economic Party wins.No result yet
What has to happen
The listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
Amcha YisraelAmcha Yisrael wins.No result yet
What has to happen
The listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

Show 1 more results

Blue & WhiteBlue & White wins.No result yet
What has to happen
The listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results.

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Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by gov.il (tiebreak)

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (gov.il) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 6:59 PM ET.

Source named: gov.il (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

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