Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?

<1% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.<1%
What has to happen
Any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title.
NoIt doesn’t happen.>99%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Medium (40/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles Yes as soon as any 1-minute candle’s high reaches the strike, even if the price moves back right away. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM…”
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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