Culture

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?

57% say yes

Up 21 points today.

Decided by the-numbers.com, by December 19, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 57¢ means about a 57% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesThe count or result in the question is what actually happens.57%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by December 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoIt doesn’t happen.43%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

Price chart

Yes 57%No 43%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by the-numbers.com

Fine-print risk

Low (0/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on the-numbers.com (the-numbers.com). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Dec 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: the-numbers.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.”
“If "Avengers: Doomsday" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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