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US Elections

Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?

Settled: No

Decided by Race calls by AP

Result posted: Wed Nov 4, 1:10 AM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Wed Nov 4, 1:10 AM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 3, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET).

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.No

    What has to happen

    The Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET).

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.Yes

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 3, 2026.

What the news says

News search is temporarily unavailable. Check the official source: Race calls by AP.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by AP race calls
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: Settles on AP race calls.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 10:59 PM ET.

Source named: AP race calls (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the…”
  • “The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.”
  • “Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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