Tech
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
17% say yes
No price change recorded today yet.
Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2028.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 17¢ means about a 17% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
Yes wins if: Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM .
Possible results
YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.17%
What has to happen
Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.83%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.
The one trap
The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.
