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Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

6% say Anthony Fauci will be arrested before 2027

Down 1 point today.

Decided by Official government/military statements plus a credible reporting, by December 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 6¢ means about a 6% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • John BrennanJohn Brennan wins.21%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Mahmoud KhalilMahmoud Khalil wins.20%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • James ComeyJames Comey wins.19%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Lee Jun-seokLee Jun-seok wins.13%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Show 20 more results
  • Tom HomanTom Homan wins.8%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Susan RiceSusan Rice wins.7%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Anthony FauciAnthony Fauci wins.6%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Lisa CookLisa Cook wins.6%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • James ClapperJames Clapper wins.5%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Letitia JamesLetitia James wins.5%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu wins.4%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • José Luis Rodríguez ZapateroJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero wins.4%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Candace OwensCandace Owens wins.4%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Adam SchiffAdam Schiff wins.4%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Brandon JohnsonBrandon Johnson wins.4%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom wins.3%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Hillary ClintonHillary Clinton wins.3%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Pam BondiPam Bondi wins.3%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Kash PatelKash Patel wins.3%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Loretta LynchLoretta Lynch wins.2%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Bill ClintonBill Clinton wins.2%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • John KerryJohn Kerry wins.2%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Barack ObamaBarack Obama wins.2%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Joe BidenJoe Biden wins.1%

    What has to happen

    The listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If someone disputes the result on Polymarket, UMA token holders vote to settle it. Kalshi settles by its own rulebook.

Price chart
-Yes chance

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
Stated Condition

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (deadline). Polymarket ceasefire/clash rules exclude intercepted missiles, debris, cyberattacks and unilateral pauses, and hold open for a confirmation window when reports conflict.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading picked up (about 5 times the usual hourly amount).

    9m ago

  • Trading picked up (about 5 times the usual hourly amount).

    40m ago

  • Trading picked up (about 5 times the usual hourly amount).

    1h ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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