Geopolitics

Will another person be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No live price for this market yet.

About the same as yesterday.

Decided by the election on October 27, 2026, using official government/military statements plus a credible reporting.

Polymarket lists October 27, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until December 31, 2027.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Possible results

YesThe person named in the question wins the election.No price
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by December 31, 2027.
NoIt doesn’t happen.No price
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Other”.

Price chart

-Yes chance

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 7:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Big trades across all markets