MarketWeaver

Soccer

Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

61% say yes

Prices last updated 5 minutes ago. They normally update every minute.

Up 14 points today.

Decided when a champion is named, by July 21, 2030.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 61¢ means about a 61% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

  • YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.61%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by July 21, 2030.

  • NoSomeone else wins the title.39%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "Other".

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 6.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 56¢ to 62¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: FIFA official11h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsSettled by FIFA official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Official source: settlement runs on FIFA official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sun, Jul 21, 2030, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: FIFA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently…”
  • “If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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