US Elections

Will another candidate win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No live price for this market yet.

About the same as yesterday.

Polymarket lists November 2, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until July 31, 2027.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesThe person named in the question wins the election.No price
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by July 31, 2027.
NoIt doesn’t happen.No price
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market settles as "Other".

Price chart

-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedSettled by AP + Fox News + NBC race calls

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC (all must agree); official certification if they do not. Calls races on and after election night. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: AP + Fox News + NBC race calls (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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