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Geopolitics

Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

<1% say Anna-Karin Hatt wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by the election on September 13, 2026, using official government/military statements plus a credible reporting.

Polymarket lists September 13, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until June 30, 2027.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (10 in all).

Possible results

  • Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson wins the election.71%

    What has to happen

    Magdalena Andersson wins, under the rules.

  • Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson wins the election.24%

    What has to happen

    Ulf Kristersson wins, under the rules.

  • Ebba BuschEbba Busch wins the election.4%

    What has to happen

    Ebba Busch wins, under the rules.

  • Elisabeth Thand RingqvistElisabeth Thand Ringqvist wins the election.2%

    What has to happen

    Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist wins, under the rules.

Show 6 more results
  • Jimmie ÅkessonJimmie Åkesson wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    Jimmie Åkesson wins, under the rules.

  • Simona MohamssonSimona Mohamsson wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    Simona Mohamsson wins, under the rules.

  • Anna-Karin HattAnna-Karin Hatt wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    Anna-Karin Hatt wins, under the rules.

  • Nooshi DadgostarNooshi Dadgostar wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    Nooshi Dadgostar wins, under the rules.

  • Amanda LindAmanda Lind wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    Amanda Lind wins, under the rules.

  • Daniel HelldénDaniel Helldén wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    Daniel Helldén wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print
  • If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Other”.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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