MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

US Elections

Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?

Settled: Andrey Gyurov

Decided by consensus of credible reporting

Result posted: Mon Nov 2, 5:21 AM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Mon Nov 2, 5:19 AM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (8 in all).

Possible results

  • Andrey GyurovAndrey Gyurov wins the election.Yes

    What has to happen

    Andrey Gyurov wins, under the rules.

  • Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Iliana Iotova wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate ACandidate A wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate A wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate BCandidate B wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate B wins, under the rules.

Show 4 more results
  • Candidate CCandidate C wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate C wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate DCandidate D wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate D wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate ECandidate E wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Candidate E wins, under the rules.

  • someone elsesomeone else wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    someone else wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results from the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria.

See all fine print
  • Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by Election Commission (tiebreak)
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (Election Commission) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Election Commission (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from voters abroad…”
  • “If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.

Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?: explained simply · MarketWeaver