Geopolitics
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
<1% say Ali Motahari will be head of state in Iran end of 2026
No price change recorded today yet.
Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting, by December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM .
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
Mojtaba KhameneiMojtaba Khamenei wins.92%
What has to happen
Mojtaba Khamenei wins, under the rules.
Alireza ArafiAlireza Arafi wins.3%
What has to happen
Alireza Arafi wins, under the rules.
Reza PahlaviReza Pahlavi wins.1%
What has to happen
Reza Pahlavi wins, under the rules.
Masoud PezeshkianMasoud Pezeshkian wins.<1%
What has to happen
Masoud Pezeshkian wins, under the rules.
Show 25 more results
Hassan RouhaniHassan Rouhani wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hassan Rouhani wins, under the rules.
Muhammad MirbaqiriMuhammad Mirbaqiri wins.<1%
What has to happen
Muhammad Mirbaqiri wins, under the rules.
Sadegh LarijaniSadegh Larijani wins.<1%
What has to happen
Sadegh Larijani wins, under the rules.
Hassan KhomeiniHassan Khomeini wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hassan Khomeini wins, under the rules.
Maryam RajaviMaryam Rajavi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Maryam Rajavi wins, under the rules.
Abbas AraghchiAbbas Araghchi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Abbas Araghchi wins, under the rules.
Ahmad VahidiAhmad Vahidi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ahmad Vahidi wins, under the rules.
Mohammad-Bagher GhalibafMohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf wins, under the rules.
Hassan ShariatmadariHassan Shariatmadari wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hassan Shariatmadari wins, under the rules.
Navid ShomaliNavid Shomali wins.<1%
What has to happen
Navid Shomali wins, under the rules.
Mustafa HijriMustafa Hijri wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mustafa Hijri wins, under the rules.
Sadegh MahsouliSadegh Mahsouli wins.<1%
What has to happen
Sadegh Mahsouli wins, under the rules.
Nasir HosseiniNasir Hosseini wins.<1%
What has to happen
Nasir Hosseini wins, under the rules.
Massoud RajaviMassoud Rajavi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Massoud Rajavi wins, under the rules.
Seyed Hossein MousavianSeyed Hossein Mousavian wins.<1%
What has to happen
Seyed Hossein Mousavian wins, under the rules.
Reza PirzadehReza Pirzadeh wins.<1%
What has to happen
Reza Pirzadeh wins, under the rules.
Ali MotahariAli Motahari wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ali Motahari wins, under the rules.
Gholam-Ali Haddad-AdelGholam-Ali Haddad-Adel wins.<1%
What has to happen
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel wins, under the rules.
Mostafa PourmohammadiMostafa Pourmohammadi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mostafa Pourmohammadi wins, under the rules.
Saeed JaliliSaeed Jalili wins.<1%
What has to happen
Saeed Jalili wins, under the rules.
Mahmoud AhmadinejadMahmoud Ahmadinejad wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wins, under the rules.
Mohammad KhatamiMohammad Khatami wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mohammad Khatami wins, under the rules.
Mohsen ArakiMohsen Araki wins.<1%
What has to happen
Mohsen Araki wins, under the rules.
Ahmad Hosseini KhorasaniAhmad Hosseini Khorasani wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani wins, under the rules.
Ali Asghar HejaziAli Asghar Hejazi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ali Asghar Hejazi wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, the market settles as “No Head of State”.
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