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Geopolitics

Will Aleš Vrhovec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Closed, awaiting result

To be decided by consensus of credible reporting

Trading has stopped. No result has been posted yet.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

There is one market for each possible winner (11 in all).

Possible results

  • Zoran JankovićZoran Janković wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Zoran Janković wins, under the rules.

  • Luka MesecLuka Mesec wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Luka Mesec wins, under the rules.

  • Aleksandar RepićAleksandar Repić wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Aleksandar Repić wins, under the rules.

  • Anton RopAnton Rop wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Anton Rop wins, under the rules.

Show 7 more results
  • Gregor NovakGregor Novak wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Gregor Novak wins, under the rules.

  • Jasmin FeratovićJasmin Feratović wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Jasmin Feratović wins, under the rules.

  • Aleš PrimcAleš Primc wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Aleš Primc wins, under the rules.

  • Mihael JarcMihael Jarc wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Mihael Jarc wins, under the rules.

  • Apolonija SimonApolonija Simon wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Apolonija Simon wins, under the rules.

  • Aleš VrhovecAleš Vrhovec wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Aleš Vrhovec wins, under the rules.

  • Klemen BoštjančičKlemen Boštjančič wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Klemen Boštjančič wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results.

See all fine print
  • Someone holding the job temporarily before the election doesn’t count.
  • Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by Election Commission (tiebreak)
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (Election Commission) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Election Commission (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election.”
  • “If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".”
  • “If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will Aleš Vrhovec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver