Other

Belgium leading at halftime?

Settled: Yes

Decided by consensus of credible reporting

Result posted: Sun Nov 15, 4:58 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Sun Nov 15, 4:58 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 15, 2026, 2:45 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Belgium wins within the first 45 of regular play plus stoppage time.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.Yes
What has to happen
Belgium wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.No
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 15, 2026, 2:45 PM ET.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market settles as "No".

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 2:45 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belgium and Italy, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation…”
“If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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