MarketWeaver

MMA

Fight to Go the Distance?

26% say yes

Down 11 points today.

Decided when a champion is named, by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 26¢ means about a 26% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner. Yes wins if: The fight between Thomas Petersen and Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs.

Possible results

  • YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.26%

    What has to happen

    The fight between Thomas Petersen and Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs.

  • NoSomeone else wins the title.74%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

Otherwise, it settles as "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 6 points in about 15 minutes, from 33.5¢ to 27.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UFC official6m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedSettled by UFC official
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on UFC official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: UFC official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for…”
  • “The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.”
  • “Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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