MMA

Over vs Under: who will win?

60% say Under wins

Up 2 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 14, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 60¢ means about a 60% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 14, 2026.

Possible results

OverOver wins.40%
What has to happen
The fight between Luis Gurule and Bilal Hasan at UFC 334: Gane vs.
UnderUnder wins.60%
What has to happen
The fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

The one trap

If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price chart

Over 40%Under 60%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedSettled by UFC official

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on UFC official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 2:30 (time zone not stated).

Source named: UFC official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.”
“The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.”
“If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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