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MMA

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid: who will win?

76% say Keiichiro Nakamura wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 7, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 76¢ means about a 76% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Keiichiro Nakamura and Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims) play a match in UFC Fight Night, scheduled for November 7, 2026.

Possible results

  • Keiichiro NakamuraKeiichiro Nakamura wins.76%

    What has to happen

    Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs.

  • Ollie SchmidOllie Schmid wins.24%

    What has to happen

    Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner.

The one trap

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by UFC official
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on UFC official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: UFC official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.”
  • “If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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