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MMA

Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall: who will win?

65% say Francis Marshall wins

Up 1 point today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 65¢ means about a 65% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Dakota Hope and Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card) play a match at the UFC Fight Night, scheduled for October 31, 2026.

Possible results

  • Dakota HopeDakota Hope wins.35%

    What has to happen

    Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs.

  • Francis MarshallFrancis Marshall wins.65%

    What has to happen

    Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner.

The one trap

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price chart
-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by UFC official
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on UFC official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: UFC official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.”
  • “If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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