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MMA

Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando: who will win?

>99% say Lucas Fernando wins

Down 26 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 7, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Billy Elekana and Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) play a match in UFC Fight Night, scheduled for November 7, 2026.

Possible results

  • Billy ElekanaBilly Elekana wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Fernando at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs.

  • Lucas FernandoLucas Fernando wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner.

The one trap

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 8.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 8.5¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UFC official7m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by UFC official
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on UFC official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: UFC official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.”
  • “If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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