Soccer

Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

<1% say yes

Down 12 points today.

Decided when a champion is named, by November 3, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.<1%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 3, 2026.
NoSomeone else wins the title.>99%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 3, 2026.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market settles as "Yes".

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 12.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 12.5¢ to 0.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats53m ago
The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 13.5¢ to 9.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
23m ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

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