Other

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

6% say yes

Down 3 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 6¢ means about a 6% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.6%
What has to happen
Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.94%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 6%No 94%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (35/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Jul 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES…”
“This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case.”
“If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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