US Elections

Trump impeached and removed before 2028?

18% say yes

Up 10 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 18¢ means about an 18% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Donald Trump is impeached and removed from the office of President of the United States by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.18%
What has to happen
Donald Trump is impeached and removed from the office of President of the United States by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.82%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 18%No 82%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (35/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is impeached and removed from the office of President of the United States by December 31…”
“The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Congress, including Senate roll call votes; however, a consensus of credible…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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