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Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?

Settled: Yes

Decided by Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC, CNN, ABC, CBS

Result posted: Thu Nov 12, 4:45 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Thu Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.Yes

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.No

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: first number counts, no revisionsSettled by AP + Fox News + NBC + CNN + ABC + CBS race calls
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the first published number
  • Official source: Settles on AP, Fox News, NBC, CNN, ABC and CBS race calls.
  • Fine print: Settles strictly on the initial agency release. Later benchmark revisions will not flip the outcome. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: AP + Fox News + NBC + CNN + ABC + CBS race calls (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 4 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    17h ago

  • Trading rose to about 13 times the usual hourly amount.

    17h ago

  • Trading rose to about 23 times the usual hourly amount.

    18h ago

  • Trading rose to about 23 times the usual hourly amount.

    18h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a qualifying outlet publishes a qualifying report of…”
  • “The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the qualifying outlets; for acknowledgments, official information from Jensen Huang or his official or legal…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?: explained simply · MarketWeaver