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US Elections

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

Settled: Yes

Decided by consensus of credible reporting

Result posted: Fri Nov 6, 4:09 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Fri Nov 6, 4:09 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.Yes

    What has to happen

    Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.No

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What the news says

Wiles, who served as the first woman in this role, will continue working for the political organization of the President.

Sources checked 3:22 PM ET

See sources (1)

News data from GDELT and publisher news feeds. AI summary in our own words. Read the original articles at the links.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: needs formal signingNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Medium (35/100)
settles on the date it takes effect
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Press announcements or committee votes do not settle Yes; formal signing or enactment before the deadline is required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between market…”
  • “The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.”
  • “An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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