Other

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?

Settled: Up

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles

Result posted: Tue Nov 3, 6:02 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Tue Nov 3, 6:02 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.Yes
What has to happen
The Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on November 3, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
DownThe result is “Down”.No
What has to happen
The Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on November 3, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.

The one trap

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

See all fine print

If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 9:30 AM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.”
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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