Other

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 11?

67% say yes

Up 57 points today.

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles, by November 11, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 67¢ means about a 67% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 11, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The for S&P 500 (SPY) on November 11, 2026 is higher than the listed price.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.67%
What has to happen
The Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on November 11, 2026 is higher than the listed price.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.33%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 11, 2026.

The one trap

If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

See all fine print

If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.

Price chart

Yes 67%No 33%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 15.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 54.5¢ to 70¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Pyth 1m candle5m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Wed, Nov 11, 2026, 4:00 PM (time zone not stated).

Source named: Pyth 1m candle (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on November 11, 2026 is higher than the listed price.”
“The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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