Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Under wins

Down 15 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 27 at 1:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio: US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 2.5 play a soccer match, scheduled for October 27 at 1:30 PM ET.

Possible results

OverOver wins.<1%
What has to happen
US Sassuolo Calcio score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
UnderUnder wins.>99%
What has to happen
US Sassuolo Calcio score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Over <1%Under >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 15.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 15.5¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Serie A official1h ago
The price fell 38.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 59¢ to 20.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Serie A official2h ago
The price rose 30.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 14¢ to 44.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Serie A official3h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Serie A official

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

Match / Game Final

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Serie A official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:30 PM ET (scheduled start). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and cancellation handling (50-50 on Polymarket vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: Serie A official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming Serie A game between US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio, scheduled for October 27 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if US Sassuolo Calcio score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If US Sassuolo Calcio score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on US Sassuolo Calcio's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

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