MarketWeaver

Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Over wins

Up 97 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 27 at 1:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 4.5 play a soccer match, scheduled for October 27 at 1:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • OverOver wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio combine to score 5 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time).

  • UnderUnder wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    The combined first-half total is less than 5 goals.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Serie A official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
Match / Game Final

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Serie A official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:30 PM ET (scheduled start). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and cancellation handling (50-50 on Polymarket vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: Serie A official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming Serie A game between US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio, scheduled for October 27 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio combine to score 5 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 5 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

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