Other

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 10?

98% say Down

Down 49 points today.

Decided by wsj.com, by November 10, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 98¢ means about a 98% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.2%
What has to happen
The official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Tuesday, November 10, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.
DownThe result is “Down”.98%
What has to happen
The official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Tuesday, November 10, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.

The one trap

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

See all fine print

If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Up 2%Down 98%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by wsj.com

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Named URL in rules: wsj.com. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Sat, Nov 10, 2001, 4:00 PM ET.

Source named: wsj.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".”
“If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Russell 2000 Index…”
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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