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Tennis

Gibson vs Sasnovich: who will win?

80% say Talia Gibson wins

Up 38 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 18, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 80¢ means about an 80% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Talia Gibson and Aliaksandra Sasnovich play a tennis match at the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 2:30 AM .

Possible results

  • Talia GibsonTalia Gibson wins and moves on.80%

    What has to happen

    Talia Gibson advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich.

  • Aliaksandra SasnovichAliaksandra Sasnovich wins and moves on.20%

    What has to happen

    Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Talia Gibson.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 18, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print
  • If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
  • If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
  • The official result comes from the WTA Tour. Trusted news reports can also be used.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 33.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 36.5¢ to 69.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: WTA official24m ago

  • The price rose 34 points in about 15 minutes, from 11.5¢ to 45.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: WTA official1h ago

  • The price rose 25.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 9.5¢ to 34.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: WTA official2h ago

  • The price fell 30 points in about 15 minutes, from 42.5¢ to 12.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: WTA official2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by WTA official
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on WTA official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 2:30 AM ET.

Source named: WTA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour.”
  • “If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59…”
  • “If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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