Tennis

Fernandez vs Mertens: who will win?

82% say Leylah Fernandez wins

Up 34 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists November 4, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 11, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 82¢ means about an 82% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Leylah Fernandez and Elise Mertens play a tennis match at the Pan Pacific Open, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM .

Possible results

Leylah FernandezLeylah Fernandez wins and moves on.82%
What has to happen
Leylah Fernandez advances against Elise Mertens.
Elise MertensElise Mertens wins and moves on.18%
What has to happen
Elise Mertens advances against Leylah Fernandez.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 11, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
The official result comes from the WTA Tour. Trusted news reports can also be used.

Price chart

Leylah Fernandez 82%Elise Mertens 18%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 23.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 70.5¢ to 93.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: WTA official25m ago
The price rose 35 points in about 15 minutes, from 41.5¢ to 76.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: WTA official55m ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by WTA official

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on WTA official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.

Source named: WTA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Elise Mertens in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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