Culture

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

18% say yes

Down 5 points today.

Decided by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM , under the rules.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 18¢ means about an 18% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.

Possible results

YesThe count or result in the question is what actually happens.18%
What has to happen
The listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
NoIt doesn’t happen.82%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "No".

Price chart

Yes 18%No 82%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Wed, Dec 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.”
“The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME…”
“If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.