MarketWeaver

Commodities

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles, by October 31, 2026.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle
Chance the crowd gives Yes
-
no live price
Buyers vs sellers near the price
-
no order list read
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes if any single 1-minute candle high or low touches the strike price, even if the price reverses right away. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

Big trades across all markets

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?: explained simply · MarketWeaver