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Commodities

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?

90% say yes

Up 59 points today.

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles for the ICE Futures active-month contract, by October 26, 2026.

Polymarket lists October 30, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until October 26, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 90¢ means about a 90% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 26, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.90%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by October 26, 2026.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.10%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by October 26, 2026.

The one trap

If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected).

Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 97.4¢ to 90.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures6m ago

  • The price rose 23.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 72.7¢ to 96.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures47m ago

  • The price rose 70.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 2.6¢ to 72.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles for the ICE Futures active-month contract (ice.com trading hours apply) (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes if any single 1-minute candle high or low touches the strike price, even if the price reverses right away. Deadline: Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 26 2026, any Pyth 1-minute…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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