Commodities
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?
<1% say yes
About the same as yesterday.
Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles for the ICE Futures active-month contract, by October 31, 2026.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2026), the answer is No.
Possible results
YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.<1%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by October 31, 2026.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.>99%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026.
The one trap
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected).
