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US Elections

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential ?

2% say Wes Moore wins

About the same as yesterday.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 2¢ means about a 2% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

There is one market for each possible winner (53 in all).

Possible results

  • Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom wins the election.17%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the election.16%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Jon OssoffJon Ossoff wins the election.15%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Kamala HarrisKamala Harris wins the election.6%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

Show 49 more results
  • Josh ShapiroJosh Shapiro wins the election.5%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg wins the election.5%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Andy BeshearAndy Beshear wins the election.4%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • James TalaricoJames Talarico wins the election.2%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Mark KellyMark Kelly wins the election.2%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Wes MooreWes Moore wins the election.2%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Raphael WarnockRaphael Warnock wins the election.2%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Rahm EmanuelRahm Emanuel wins the election.2%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • J.B. PritzkerJ.B. Pritzker wins the election.2%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Bernie SandersBernie Sanders wins the election.1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Ro KhannaRo Khanna wins the election.1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Chelsea ClintonChelsea Clinton wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Dwayne 'The Rock' JohnsonDwayne 'The Rock' Johnson wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Cory BookerCory Booker wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Michelle ObamaMichelle Obama wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Jon StewartJon Stewart wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Gretchen WhitmerGretchen Whitmer wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Roy CooperRoy Cooper wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Mark CubanMark Cuban wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Barack ObamaBarack Obama wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Hillary ClintonHillary Clinton wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Hunter BidenHunter Biden wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Chris MurphyChris Murphy wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Ruben GallegoRuben Gallego wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Stephen A. SmithStephen A. Smith wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Gina RaimondoGina Raimondo wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Zohran MamdaniZohran Mamdani wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Jared PolisJared Polis wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Phil MurphyPhil Murphy wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Jasmine CrockettJasmine Crockett wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Abigail SpanbergerAbigail Spanberger wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Hakeem JeffriesHakeem Jeffries wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Elissa SlotkinElissa Slotkin wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Josh SteinJosh Stein wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Chris Van HollenChris Van Hollen wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Mitch LandrieuMitch Landrieu wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Tim WalzTim Walz wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • John FettermanJohn Fetterman wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Liz CheneyLiz Cheney wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • LeBron JamesLeBron James wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • George ClooneyGeorge Clooney wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • MrBeastMrBeast wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Oprah WinfreyOprah Winfrey wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Andrew YangAndrew Yang wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Beto O’RourkeBeto O’Rourke wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Kim KardashianKim Kardashian wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Graham PlatnerGraham Platner wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Adam SchiffAdam Schiff wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Alex PadillaAlex Padilla wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

Price chart
-Yes chance

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by Official party sources
Fine-print risk
Low (25/100)
Seat / Electoral Certification

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of official party sources (nomination accepted). Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Nov 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET (venue end date. Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting with null deciding if ambiguous.

Source named: Official party sources (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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