US Elections

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?

64% say yes

Down 2 points today.

Decided by the election on November 1, 2026, using official election authority.

Polymarket lists November 1, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until June 30, 2027.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 64¢ means about a 64% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026.

Possible results

YesThe person named in the question wins the election.64%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by June 30, 2027.
NoIt doesn’t happen.36%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print

If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as the lowest bracket.

Price chart

Yes 64%No 36%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 5.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 58¢ to 63.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Election Commission2h ago

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by Election Commission

Fine-print risk

Low (0/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official election authority (Election Commission). Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Election Commission (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2021 example: https://results.cik.bg/pvrns2021/tur2/aktivnost/index.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).

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