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Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?

Named source: rik.parlament.gov.rs

The short version

How to read this page

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Low surprise risk: the condition as written settles it.

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The details

No live order bookRule note: stated conditionSettled by rik.parlament.gov.rs
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Buyers vs sellers near the price
-
no order book read
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
Stated Condition
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Official election authority (rik.parlament.gov.rs). Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the condition as written with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (election day); hard deadline Wed, Mar 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET Deadline: Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (election day). Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting with rik.parlament.gov.rs deciding if ambiguous.

Source named: rik.parlament.gov.rs (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

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Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: rik.parlament.gov.rs
Fine-print risk: Low (0/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 0
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Official election authority (rik.parlament.gov.rs) · https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/
2.
Deadline and time zone
Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (election day); hard deadline Wed, Mar 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Stated ConditionResolution condition as written: "This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf)."
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting with rik.parlament.gov.rs deciding if ambiguous; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Venues that settle only on certified results can resolve later, or differently if recounts change the outcome.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver